'Italian opposition fragmented: No alternative leader, no other possible leader than Giorgia Meloni'
Alison Sargent is pleased to welcome Political analyst Lorenzo Pregliasco, co-founder of polling agency YouTrend and adjunct professor at the University of Bologna. He argues that Giorgia Meloni’s unusual longevity in office is best understood not simply as a record of political strength, but as the product of a carefully calibrated governing strategy. Meloni has maintained stability partly by avoiding structural reforms disruptive enough to mobilize multiple constituencies against her at once. Her dominance within Fratelli d’Italia, the absence of a credible alternative leader, and a fragmented opposition have reinforced that advantage.
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Issued on: 04/09/2026 - 17:35 Modified: 04/09/2026 - 17:35
Alison Sargent is pleased to welcome Political analyst Lorenzo Pregliasco, co-founder of polling agency YouTrend and adjunct professor at the University of Bologna. He argues that Giorgia Meloni’s unusual longevity in office is best understood not simply as a record of political strength, but as the product of a carefully calibrated governing strategy. Meloni has maintained stability partly by avoiding structural reforms disruptive enough to mobilize multiple constituencies against her at once.
Her dominance within Fratelli d’Italia, the absence of a credible alternative leader, and a fragmented opposition have reinforced that advantage. Yet Pregliasco sees the political landscape becoming considerably less comfortable ahead of the next election. The most consequential threat may not come from the center-left but from Meloni’s right, where Roberto Vannacci’s Futuro Nazionale is, in his account, drawing support from the terrain on which Meloni herself once thrived.